A recent study from Stanford University estimates that large campaign rallies held by former President Donald Trump led to approximately 30,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases and likely resulted in over 700 deaths among attendees and those they infected. The research, conducted by Stanford economics professor Dr. Luke Harrington and his team, focused on rallies that occurred between June 20 and September 30 in 18 counties across states like Arizona and Oklahoma.
On the same day that Trump held a rally in Michigan, the country reported nearly 100,000 new COVID-19 cases, a record high. The study highlights the risks associated with large gatherings, particularly when attendees do not adhere to mask-wearing and social distancing guidelines, as outlined by the CDC. The authors emphasize that such events can act as “superspreader” gatherings, significantly hindering efforts to manage the pandemic.
One of the researchers, Elena Carter, noted via social media that they evaluated the relationship between COVID-19 incidence in the weeks following the rallies and various factors including existing infection rates and local health restrictions. The findings strongly corroborate public health warnings regarding the transmission risks at large gatherings.
Since his recovery from the virus, Trump has continued to hold numerous rallies, with plans for 14 events in the days leading up to Election Day, despite the mixed public opinion: a recent poll indicated that nearly 60% of Americans disapprove of his large gatherings during the pandemic. Dr. Sarah Thompson, a health expert, has cautioned against these rallies, asserting that they pose significant health risks.
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In summary, the Stanford study highlights the significant health risks associated with large political rallies, estimating thousands of COVID-19 cases and hundreds of deaths related to events held by the Trump campaign. The findings underline the importance of adhering to public health guidelines during gatherings.